Wednesday, September 8, 2010

STOCK AND CURRENCY EXCHANGE RATE

This weekend, Composite Stock Price Index (CSPI) and the rupiah to move in the direction. Thursday, February 25, 2010 and then, JCI fell 1.18% to 2549.03. While the rupiah, to the exchange rate of Bank Indonesia, also minus 0.15% to Rp 9335 per U.S. dollar. During the week, JCI declined 0.21%, while the rupiah rose 0.25%.

CURRENCY GBP/USD
I will explain what and how to determine the price when we play in GBP currency to USD. basically all a country's economy is not that different from countries other, but they always have differences in handling the economic problems of their own with their country and what could affect their economies. like what we know today among the countries economy is very strong country, including states that English can say a country is very high potential in determining the rotation of the world economy. for example the UK ranked second only arab country to sell the value of its currency is to touch the level of 298 points in average daily transactions of capital markets and world currency markets, for example at the level of English occupying 18,700 rupiah currency exchange rate against foreign currencies Indonesia. This shows that the British state is very strong in the fields of economy, especially with the supporters of English has a bersekala BANK in the world and acknowledged as a state treasure that could save its customers from any country. of those stories that we get we should be able to read that the British state is very strong in the economic and state administration, so when all the countries at the beginning of the opening day of the week in the capital markets and world currency markets in the UK is always occupied in the early 17-point opening, if the opening price was high Ingris in average selling its interest rate value automatically in the price range of 27 to 43 points pertransaksinya. if the British currency exchange rates in stage 43-point he sped up to 67 points then BGP will be able to touch the 121 point level, now you may ask why the rate of increase in the movement of currency exchange rates could be achieved exchange rate very high? average speed and increase the value of the GBP was minimal in the range of 27 to 43 points was the smallest, while the average daily exchange rate in the range from 64 to 87 score points, whether this exchange yet you know?? please read the economic level of income per person in the UK, you probably just can not believe that the economy of the country is very high compared developed countries, even very rare CAD could match the British economy, and at the end of the closing price of the currency usually GBP was always able to touch the level of 378 points in the closing per week. can you imagine a country with a very strong economy, even countries that can guarantee the money of any country that invested into english country (in terms of storing wealth of the state or someone who kept his money in the country). this is one proof of evidence is that the British state is in economic conditions are very setabil. the GBP will be able to penetrate up to 297 point level, and it got touching up the 399 point level.

CHANGES IN EUR / USD
Amount of information of local and international news sometimes does not mean a guarantee valid for determining the exchange of one currency into another currency, or sletry price of a company's stock price, more people do not notice the opening price at the beginning of week and the closing price on the day of fridy. Among the ways to see and predict where prices will go can we make it simple schematic of a basic movement of the economy of a country, we must first know the maximum power of the State economy of certain countries as a determinant of the market, such as the United States, Europe, france, germany , English, Japanese and many more countries southeast asia that some time has been included as a State that has a major influence on the State's economy - the State in the world. As a simple example of this way of reading up - falling EUR / USD is always on view at the opening price at the beginning of the week and at the end of Friday, and the daily opening occurred at 04:00 local time (depending on when the State itself) basically the price is always affected by tax rules required by the world federation of economic transactions of international interest rates, the price of EUR / USD will be visible in the range of 6-12 standard points taxes, if taxes are originated from the red number then the possibility for him to be a higher sales until at least 20-37 points touched, and vice versa,. The picture is clear I am sure you all can understand, the tendency of capital markets, trading currencies, it's a good's influenced by individual habits, a habit stock market, bonds, and currency exchange rates that we see in practice the market International or local itself. Basic picture of currency exchange rates as follows:

EUR / USD
Basic starting point from 6-12 points, if the price has touched a change in the level of 12 points then that price will likely rise to the level to 26-37 points, then if the state's economy does not respond then to the next level could touch the figure was 63 points the beginning of the 42 points. Then if you touch the level of 69 points will be touched to 95 points, and usually will get to 137 points ... .. arrived at this point we should be very careful to determine the price.

THE MOVEMENT EUR / JPY
EUR / JPY currency which two extremely influential in the world of selling - buying currencies of the world, the two currencies have had a very strong difference in the same economic character, as we know that European countries are always competing with the Japanese state in advance the priority scale up their economies, as an example a very tight competition that we can see an example of their rivalry in bisang automotive and automotive exsport and goods - electronics goods, Japan is always in the top position, if the European competition in the field quantity can be sure it will be defeated, but if europe own up competition in the field of quality in making sure goods can be superior to 40 percent of the Japanese nation. as what we see, Japanese-made car is always able to better his lot in production but they are weak in quality than the stuff in European countries, European countries the opposite is also always lost in the manufacturing and production in Japan compare. two-way competition itself has benefits and advantages to each - each. goods - goods and the car in production by European countries always use older age compared with the goods and the car in production by the Japanese state.

of the real picture on top of that we can see that the competition between the two countries are very strict but it is very much difference, and have their selling points - each with one of the two countries is not in anyone's, so the priority scale differences rise - fall into the second currency that the country is very high in the world movement of capital and stock markets and the impact on high-level differences in the initial opening point and the end of the transaction.

at the opening at the beginning of the week will be met in the range of 17 to 23 points, if in this stage we can monitor the movement of two currencies that we can very easily set up the point what would be - think we can take the advantage and profit

basic movements of EUR / JPY is always in the range of 45 to 77 points in each movement in a single transaction, this is why the two currencies was always bound up much of his movement, but not in this regard is good because the two currencies can be very quickly returned to the base price of the opening at the beginning of the transaction could even go back to the beginning of the transaction price at the opening at the beginning of the first week.

the two currencies was very common until it touches the 367-point numbers, in one week can usually be touched twice that number.

Bhakti Securities Research Chief Edwin Sebayang opinion, the market is still waiting for the final session of the Special Committee of Century Bank. Investors are also waiting for the report performance of the issuers. JCI and the rupiah is still likely to move statements. This prompted investors more selective in picking stocks.

The market had been anticipating economic data due out early March 2010. From United States, according to Edwin, to be released data rate of labor. I predict next week, JCI will move in the range of 2494-2584.

Rhythm with JCI, the movement of the exchange rate is also relatively flat. Nurul Eti Nurbaeti, money market BNI Securities analyst, said during this week bought more corporations buy up U.S. dollars is quite high.

The dominance of the U.S. dollar also affected by the economic slump in the European region, especially the Greek deficit problem. U.S. dollar tends to strengthen against all world currencies, especially euros. This step involved holding dollars. In fact, the U.S. dollar index is still strong at the level 80.89. This is the highest figure in six months.

Even so, Nurul suggesting investors do not get too worried about these sentiments. Because, the central bank has consistently keeping the rupiah in the range of Rp 9,300 per U.S. dollar. Moreover, sentiment in the early months of the rupiah will usually be higher, said Nurul.
Next week, Nurul projecting rupiah will play in the figure Rp 9,200 - Rp 9375 per U.S. dollar.

Shares of Bumi Serpong sale with 23% Discount
In recent years, the release of shares to strategic investors through the stock exchange seems increasingly rampant. As stated after (AKRA) conducted a placement through the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), a few weeks ago, a similar move made the owner of PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk (BSDE). Thursday, February 25, 2010, total transaction volume reached 3.84 million shares of BSDE lots, or about 1.92 billion shares. While the value of transactions reached Rp 1.16 trillion.

Apparently, as much as 1.7 billion shares of Bumi Serpong transacted through the transaction own lid (crossing). This amount is equivalent to 15.55% of the total shares of the property development company. Indonesia PT Macquarie Capital Securities is a broker who conduct transactions tersebut.Yang attractive, the transaction was done at the price of Rp 600 per share. Mean, 23.08% lower value of BSDE when the closing share price the stock trades a day earlier.

BSDE stock price declined 22% in trades to Rp 610 per share. BSDE share price fell due to speculation of the release of shares at a price below market price, said John Teja, Ciptadana Securities analyst, as quoted Bloomberg.Memang, among market rumors that the controller BSDE, namely the Sinar Mas Group, sold their shares to investors strategic through a private placement pattern. But, management BSDE pleaded not aware of any such transaction. The Company does not know anything, that the authority of shareholders, said Southeast Feniyati, Corporate Secretary BSDE.

Based on RTI data, as of January 31, 2010, shareholders are PT Paraga Artamida BSDE with ownership of as much as 36.73%, and Wamer Investment (Labuan) Bhd and PT Serasi Commerce Sakti have respectively 31.16% and 5.79% of shares . While the community with ownership of less than 5% have a 26.32% stake BSDE.

Paraga is a company owned by the Sinar Mas Group. However, the Sinar Mas Group Managing Director Gandhi Sulistiyanto denied the release of shares by Paraga BSDE. Ownership (Paraga) remained 36.73%. Bhakti Securities analyst Reza Nugraha suspect there are two possibilities why BSDE removing one of the owners of its shares. First, they view the real estate business was not very profitable. Second, shareholders need the funds that it needs to sell its assets.

In fact, Reza said, the real estate business this year still has a prospect. The reason, relatively low interest rates, which raises the interest of the community to invest in property. Purchasing power is also better than in 2009, Reza said. Now, the market awaits the identity of purchasers of shares BSDE, continued Reza. This determines the direction of stock prices next BSDE.

Net Income 2009 ASII Translucent Rp 10 trillion, an unfavorable economic conditions throughout the year 2009 and then as if not able to degrade the performance of PT Astra International Tbk (ASII). The proof, the company is still able to print multibidang revenue growth of 1.5% compared to 2008.

ASII revenue at the end of 2009 amounted to Rp 98.52 trillion. Operating income parent Astra Group's business is up 7% to Rp 12.75 trillion. The increase was boosted net profit during the year 2009 ASII ago by 9% to USD 10.04 triliun.Walau in 2009 and then suffered a global recession, ASII still managed to record a good performance, "said Acting President Director ASII Prijono Sugiarto, in a press release ASII.

Arief Istanto, Chief of Corporate Communication ASII, explains, the increase ASII revenue edged up only because the volume of car sales during the year 2009 and then fell 12% to 281,000 units. ASII Motorcycle sales also fell 6.8% to about 2.7 million units. Although auto sales fell, ASII performance in 2009 and then was helped by the contribution of its children. Like, PT Bank Permata Tbk (BNLI) which recorded a 6% increase in net profit to Rp 480 billion. While net income of PT Federal (AUTO) increased 36% to Rp 786 billion.

Business of mining and heavy equipment, namely PT United Tractors Tbk (UNTR) managed to get a net profit of Rp 3.8 trillion. Means, increased 43% from 2008. Cantilever UNTR performance is increased coal sales by 15%. As if not want to miss, PT Astra Graphia Tbk (ASGR) also managed to get a net profit growth of 7% to USD 67 billion.

Only the performance of PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk (AALI) is disappointing. Net income for this crude palm oil producer in 2009 and then fell 37% to Rp 1.7 trillion. This condition is caused by a decrease in the average price of world palm oil by 13%. In fact, production rose 10%.

INVS Sedia Acquisition Fund USD 50 Billion, PT Inovisi Infracom Tbk (INVS) is planning to improve its performance through non-organic or acquired growth company engaged in the same industry. Service providers of this information technology infrastructure system plans to hold a corporate action in the first half of this year.

Company Secretary Benita INVS Sofia said it would peg the capital expenditure (capex) to Rp 50 billion. All capital expenditure fund was placed to the acquisition. Capex budget is larger than in 2009, which amounted to Rp 35 miliar.INVS intends to acquire a company engaged in the field of information technology (IT) small and medium enterprises in Singapore. They hope to become the majority shareholder in the company.

If the action is successful, the acquired company will become the vehicle INVS expansion into Singapore and some other neighboring countries. Like Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam.Tidak only acquisitions, INVS also expanded its business into Eastern Indonesia. Among the 100 program development projects Smart Village and the Palapa Ring Project Phase II.

INVS Management believes its revenue for 2010 was increased after the realization of the plan. Benita said INVS set a target revenue of Rp 140 billion or an increase of 52% of the predicted acquisition in 2009. While its net profit at the end of the year targeted USD 28 billion, or more than doubled from a year 2009.Hingga third-quarter 2009, INVS successfully get an income of Rp 56 billion and net income of Rp 12 billion. However, cash and cash equivalents INVS only USD $ 9.05 billion. In addition, the General Meeting of Shareholders (GMS), INVS has received approval to increase authorized capital from Rp 240 billion to Rp 500 billion. The number of shareholders who attended as many as 74%.

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